By Robert Sebunya
For the first time SADC alliance is working against them hands down; Macky2 has the Zambia vote, Malawi and just might get the South Africa vote. Mackay2 strategy in the house is to keep in his shell and not get in any housemate’s bad books. I don’t like the fact that he nominated Ellah with a very obscure reason that Ellah is a beauty queen. Well, what he didn’t say is they both share the same script and strategy of being laid back in the first weeks of the show and try to avoid other housemates thinking they are a threat. So it’s Hiphop star of Zambia versus Beauty queen of Uganda.
The other alliance is the West Africa alliance which is made up of Ghana and Nigeria; this is the most vibrant on social media platforms and am highly sure Ma’m Bea from Ghana will have Ghana and Nigeria vote which will put Ma’m Bea at 2 block country votes.
The 3rd unpredictable alliance is the Rest Of Africa alliance which is mainly a composition of West Africa which always routes for a Nigerian housemate. Remember Melvin HM from Nigeria last season and also they have always voted for Tayo, so, I still expect them to vote for a West Africa housemate but I expect a serious contender for that vote in Macky2 since he seems to have the right vibe from his team. Unless anything happens, the Rest of Africa vote will save Mackay2 and not M’am Bea because Macky2 already showed his strength by winning the rest of Africa vote against every housemate at the time when everyone was nominated.
The alliance that I see crumbling is the SADC Alliance; for the first time the countries in Southern Africa are going to have headaches on who to ally with from their pattern of voting JJ, Permithias and Macky2 sharing 7 country votes Botswana, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, Zambia, Zimbabwe and South Africa. And I believe this how SADC will vote: Zambia will vote for Macky2, Namibia will vote Permithias, and Zimbabwe will vote for JJ. This will leave SADC decider vote to be Malawi, Botswana, Mozambique and South Africa. Am very sure Malawi will vote Macky2, Bostwana might vote Laveda, Mozambique will vote for JJ because of trade and geographical proximity and the deciding South Africa vote may go to Mackay2 as an appeasement for Nhlanhla putting him on the dagger.
East Africa alliance and how it will vote is pretty pre-determined because Uganda will vote for Ellah, Kenya will vote Alusa and Tanzania will vote for Laveda but so the new deciding vote will be Rwanda which is a split vote between Uganda and Tanzania and I highly believe the Rwanda vote will go to Ellah from Uganda.
So all Team Ellah needs to do is to convince Rwandan celebrities to mobilise Rwandan people to vote for Uganda’s HM but also Uganda celebrities like Bebe Cool, Radio and Weasle, Cindy, that are big in Rwanda to urge their Rwandan fans to vote for Ellah.
So in short if Biggie is evicting two people this Sunday the most possible people to be evicted are Alusa with one country vote , Permithias with Namibia and one or no other country vote.
Here are the possible probable results:
Ghana – M’am Bea
Botswana- Laveda or JJ or Macky 2
Kenya – Alusa
Malawi – Macky2
Mozambique – JJ
Namibia – Permithias
Nigeria – M’am Bea
Rest of Africa – Macky2
Rwanda – Ellah
South Africa – JJ or Macky2
Tanzania – Laveda
Uganda – Ellah
Zambia – Macky2
Zimbabwe – JJ
Macky2 4 , JJ 3 , M’am Bea 2 , Laveda 2 , Ellah 2 , Alusa 1 , Permithias 1
Uganda has to pray that Botswana does not vote for Laveda and also that South Africa votes for Mackay2 and Rwanda votes for Uganda’s Ellah.
Evictee number one will be Alusa from Kenya followed by Permithias from Namibia and lastly either Laveda from Tanzania, Ma’am Bea from Ghana and lastly Ellah from Uganda.
Anyone with Rwandese friends and connections please encourage them to vote for Ellah but also to tell a friend to tell a friend.